Toronto Blue Jays outfielder Jesus Sanchez has been hitting the ball well.
With Janson Junk on the mound for the Miami Marlins, the matchup should favour the slugger to keep his bat hot tonight.
Sanchez’s Hitting Streak
Jesus Sanchez has been red-hot, eclipsing his hits total in 10 of his last 12 games, posting a .433 batting average in this stretch.
Taking on a Miami Marlins team that traded him last season, he may have extra motivation to keep his hot streak alive, especially with Janson Junk pitching.
Junk’s Pitching Woes
Junk has struggled in his last three starts, giving up 19 runs on 25 hits.
This can be chalked up to a pedestrian fastball and a poor whiff rate.
Sanchez is batting just under .300 against right-handers and ranks in the 92nd percentile in expected batting average this season.
Yesavage’s Strikeout Potential
Trey Yesavage has gone Over tonight’s 5.5 strikeout total in four straight starts, averaging 6.5 per.
He faces a team with a 33% strikeout rate against the splitter, Yesavage’s put-away pitch.
Betting Odds and Predictions
- Moneyline: Miami +140 | Toronto -160
- Run line: Miami +1.5 (-150) | Toronto -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-110) | Under 7.5 (-110)
The Jays will win by multiple runs.
The run line still has value as they’ve covered it in four of their last five victories.
The pitching matchup should allow Toronto to keep Miami at bay while putting up offense against Junk.
One suggested bet is Trey Yesavage Over 5.5 strikeouts.
Home Run Pick
Junk has surrendered six home runs over his last four starts and gives up fairly hard contact to lefties, who have 17 extra-base hits off him for a .888 opponents’ OPS.
Daulton Varsho owns a 59% hard-hit rate against the four-seamer, which Junk throws most often to lefties.
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI).