Major season is underway, with the PGA Championship next on the calendar, teeing off on Thursday, May 14 from Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pa. Scottie Scheffler is the defending PGA Championship winner. He prevailed by five strokes at Quail Hollow last year.
Scheffler Early Favourite
The latest 2026 PGA Championship odds via FanDuel list Scheffler as the +350 favourite (risk $100 to win $350). McIlroy (+650), Bryson DeChambeau (+1000) and Jon Rahm (+1400) are among the other early contenders. Matt Fitzpatrick, with three wins on the season, is at +2200 to collect his second major.
Computer Model’s Surprising Predictions
A computer model at SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, with surprising results. The model has a history of profitable golf betting picks. It has also nailed 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters, last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship.
DeChambeau’s Potential Struggles
The model projects that DeChambeau barely cracks the top 5 despite being one of the favourites at +1000. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters. He then struggled in Mexico City, falling 16 shots behind the lead before withdrawing with wrist discomfort.
He has recorded three straight top-five finishes at the PGA Championship. However, he has also missed the cut twice and finished outside the top 30 two other times at this event.
Fleetwood Tipped for Strong Showing
The model projects a strong showing from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds at +2500. Fleetwood is still looking for his first major win. He’s in strong form this season, however, recording four top-10 finishes.
He was contending for another top-10 at the Masters this year before a fourth-round 76 dropped him down the leaderboard. Fleetwood has strong metrics off the tee this year, but has struggled with his putting, so if he can have a better weekend on the greens, he has a great shot to be a contender.
How the Model Works
- SportsLine’s proprietary model was built by DFS pro Mike McClure.
- It simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times.
The 2026 PGA Championship field is beginning to take shape. The model simulated the tournament 10,000 times.