Denis Shapovalov is set to face Mariano Navone in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Thursday.
Navone Favoured by Predictive Model
According to updated simulations, an advanced tennis model predicts Mariano Navone is the most likely winner of the match against Denis Shapovalov.
The independent predictive model gives Navone a 58% chance of victory at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
The simulations also indicate that Navone has a 56% chance of winning the first set. Furthermore, Shapovalov (+3.5) is shown to have a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to the model.
Betting Odds and Picks
The most up-to-date betting odds in America have been sourced for this match.
After matching probabilities against the best current odds, picks for each of the major markets have been revealed.
According to tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Match Details
The ATP Italian Open match between Denis Shapovalov and Mariano Navone is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 11:40 AM ET.
Mariano Navone is predicted to beat Denis Shapovalov at the ATP Italian Open tournament, with a 58% win probability.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in the Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.