The 2026 Atlantic Sun Tournament begins on Wednesday with a match between the No. 8 seed Bellarmine Knights and the No. 9 seed Jacksonville Dolphins. The game will take place at UNF Arena in Jacksonville, Fla., with a noon ET tipoff.
Knights Favoured in Opening Round
Bellarmine is a 1.5-point favourite against Jacksonville, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under for total points scored is set at 147.5. The Knights won and covered when these teams met on Jan. 22 of this year.
Both teams finished with a 7-11 record in conference play. They were part of a four-team logjam in seventh place in the ASUN standings.
SportsLine Model’s Predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times and has revealed its picks. The model is going Over on the total (147.5 points). Four of the past six Bellarmine games have cleared the total.
The Knights are coming off an offensive explosion where they dropped 111 points on Austin Peay in the regular-season finale. Jacksonville, meanwhile, scored at least 84 points in three of its past four games. Their matchup in January yielded 147 combined points and surpassed that over/under (139.5) with some room to spare.
Betting Odds and Lines
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville spread:
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville over/under:
- Bellarmine vs. Jacksonville money line: Bellarmine -123, Jacksonville +103
Over Predicted in High-Scoring Matchup
The SportsLine Projection Model is projecting 157 points. The Over hits 76% of the time, according to the model. The model also indicates that one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time.
The SportsLine Projection Model entered Week 18 on a sizzling 11-1 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season. It is also on a 23-17 run on top-rated CBB side picks.
The winner advances to take on top-seeded Central Arkansas in the quarterfinals on Friday.