West Ham find themselves in a precarious position as the Premier League season nears its end. Jarrod Bowen has scored key goals for West Ham in recent matches. The threat of relegation looms large for several teams, with West Ham among those fighting to secure their place in the top flight.
The Relegation Battle Intensifies
Burnley’s loss to Manchester City has confirmed their relegation, joining Wolves in the drop zone. Leeds, Nottingham Forest, West Ham, and Tottenham have been scrapping to avoid the remaining relegation spot. Leeds’ recent form, including a dramatic late equaliser against Bournemouth, has significantly improved their chances of survival.
Leeds have taken seven points from three games to reach 40 points. Leeds boss Daniel Farke said, “I am experienced long enough in this world, we will celebrate when it’s mathematically done. It’s too early.”. Victory over Championship-bound Burnley at Elland Road might be enough to make Leeds mathematically safe.
Leeds’ Improved Chances
The draw against Bournemouth takes Leeds nine points clear of Tottenham in 18th. With so few games remaining, that gap will almost certainly be enough to keep them in the top flight. According the Opta Supercomputer, the chances of Farke’s side being relegated from this position are a mere 0.21%.
Opta gives Nottingham Forest just a 4.27% chance of being relegated, following their win over Burnley. As far as the supercomputer is concerned then, it is between West Ham and Tottenham for that unwanted 18th place.
West Ham’s Relegation Odds
The Hammers are given a 38.58% of ending the season in the bottom three. It is seen as more likely than not that Spurs will go down for the first time since 1977. Roberto de Zerbi’s side are the 56.93% favourites to be relegated from here.
Tottenham’s Perspective
Tottenham boss De Zerbi was bullish about his side’s chances of staying up after Saturday’s draw with Brighton, claiming they are “able to win five games in a row” to end the season. Spurs have not won any of their past 15 league games. They are without a top-flight victory in 2026 and have managed only two since 26 October.
Until Leeds are mathematically safe, there is still work to do. It could go down to the wire for the other three sides in the mix.