Expert analysis and betting projections are available for MLB games. These betting projections consider factors such as player talent, ballparks and even the weather.
Prop Bet Recommendations
Nico Hoerner’s UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI has a 53% chance of hitting. The Expected Value is $14.82.
One reason to bet this is that one projection system ranks Wrigley Field as the fourth-worst venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB. Hoerner has started the season slowly at the plate, going 2-for-11.
Ernie Clement’s UNDER 0.5 H has a 39% chance of hitting, with a $13.20 EV. One reason to bet this is that projections see the Rogers Centre as the No. 7 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to RHB.
Andres Gimenez’s UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI has a 61% chance of hitting, with a $13.77 EV. Despite a hot start (6-for-11) for Gimenez, the Rogers Centre has the eighth-tallest fence height (on average) among all parks, which tends to suppress offense.
Foster Griffin’s UNDER 2.5 ER has a 74% chance of hitting, with a $40.82 EV. The weather forecast calls for the third-most suitable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Chase Burns’ UNDER 6.5 K has a 53% chance of hitting, with a $16.22 EV. The weather report predicts the fifth-most favourable hitting conditions on Monday’s slate in terms of temperature and humidity.
Ranger Suarez’s OVER 4.5 K has a 55% chance of hitting, with a $15.75 EV. One projection says that Minute Maid Park is the No. 4 stadium in MLB for boosting strikeouts.
Game Trends
Game totals in Minnesota Twins games have gone under in nine straight contests (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI). Current odds are 9.5 @ -108.
Toronto’s run output has hit the over in the first 5 innings in 15 of the team’s last 20.
Betting projections can be found at EV Analytics.