Middlesbrough’s push for Premier League promotion is facing turbulence as their recent form has seen their lead cut. They’ve only managed two wins in their last seven Championship matches. Ipswich are now only two points behind Middlesbrough, a gap that once stood at seven. Millwall are also in the hunt and could overtake Middlesbrough with a win.
Middlesbrough’s Strong Underlying Data
Despite their recent results, Middlesbrough’s underlying data remains strong. They have won every expected goals battle comfortably in their last seven games. Their xG supremacy figure stands at +1.4 per game during this period. This is a figure typically associated with title-winning teams.
Birmingham’s Fast Starts
Birmingham City have a tendency to come flying out of the traps at St Andrew’s. The first-half markets could be the place to find value in their matches. Birmingham’s expected goals figure before the break is unmatched in the Championship. It currently sits at a chunky 18.58.
Only Hull City and Ipswich have scored more home goals before half-time than Birmingham. This puts Birmingham right at the top when it comes to turning that intent into actual pressure. The focus should be on Birmingham’s fast starts rather than backing them over 90 minutes, where inconsistency can creep in.
Hodgson Returns to Bristol City
Roy Hodgson has returned to Bristol City, 44 years after he first left the club. His arrival has all the hallmarks of a move designed to generate headlines rather than immediate results. Hodgson himself has admitted he doesn’t know a great deal about the current squad. He also inherits a group stretched by injuries, making a manager bounce look vulnerable.
Motivation is everything at this stage of the Championship season.
- Middlesbrough have only won two of their last seven Championship matches.
- Millwall could leapfrog Middlesbrough with a win.
- Birmingham City’s expected goals figure before the break is unmatched in the Championship.
The Championship promotion race is set to intensify as the season reaches its climax.