Chelsea find themselves amidst a storm of negative press, with three consecutive defeats and fan unrest surrounding the ownership. However, beneath the surface of these results, some metrics paint a different picture, particularly regarding their attacking output.
Chelsea’s Attacking Performance Under the Radar
Despite the negativity, since Liam Rosenior took over, Chelsea have been the most potent attacking side in the Premier League. This is reflected in their position at the top for goals, expected goals, xG per shot and big chances created.
The team’s attacking style is described as front-foot, aggressive, and chance-heavy football.
The Downside: Unraveling Under Pressure
The issue for Chelsea appears to be their vulnerability when things go wrong. They tend to unravel quickly, especially when facing elite opposition.
The recent tie against PSG is a case in point. Despite being beaten 8-2 on aggregate, Chelsea actually won the expected goals battle across the tie.
Betting Angle: Ignore the Noise?
It’s crucial to avoid being swayed by external noise when it comes to betting. Chelsea are a prime example of this right now.
There’s plenty of noise around this awkward Wednesday-to-12.30pm kick-off turnaround: the lack of preparation time, the early start, the supposed disadvantage. It’s one of those narratives that gets repeated so often it starts to feel like fact.
However, the numbers tell a very different story. Across the last nine occasions where a team has had to back up quickly in that exact scenario, they’ve won eight and drawn the other.
When confidence is high, momentum and rhythm can outweigh fatigue.
Watch Everton vs Chelsea, Leeds vs Brentford, Newcastle vs Sunderland, Tottenham vs Nottingham Forest, Aston Villa vs West Ham & Arsenal vs Manchester City (Carabao Cup final) all live on Sky Sports.