The North Carolina State Wolfpack and the Texas Longhorns are set to face each other in a First Four game. The winner of this contest will earn the 11th seed and go on to play sixth-seeded BYU. Both teams are aiming to reverse recent form, having each lost five of their last six games.
Match Details and Betting Odds
The game is scheduled for Tuesday night at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio, with a tipoff time of 9:15 p.m. ET. NC State has become a 1.5-point favourite after initially opening as the underdog. The over/under for the game is set at 158.5 points.
Expert Analysis and Predictions
A SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the Texas vs. NC State game 10,000 times. The model factors in various college basketball odds and betting lines. It is currently on a strong 11-1 run with its top-rated over/under college basketball picks from last season. The model is also on a 28-22 run on top-rated picks.
The SportsLine Projection Model projects the total score to go Over 158.5 points. In the simulations, the Over occurred in 54% of them. The Over has been a common result in recent games for both teams. The Over has hit in 7 of the last 10 Texas games, and in all of NC State’s last five games.
The model projects strong offensive performances from both teams. It anticipates Texas having four players scoring 14.8 points or more. Dailyn Swain is projected to lead Texas with 17.7 points. NC State is projected to have five players scoring at least 10.5 points. Quadir Copeland is projected to lead NC State with 15.1 points.
Betting Trends to Consider
- Texas is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games.
- NC State is 2-8 against the spread in its last 10 games.
- The Over has gone 7-3 in the last 10 Texas games.
- The Over is 5-0 in the last five NC State games.
Final Prediction
The SportsLine model indicates that one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. The advanced model has simulated the game 10,000 times to generate this prediction. The Over is projected to hit, with a projected total of 161 points.