The 2026 Atlantic 10 Tournament sees the Saint Louis Billikens enter as the top seed, enjoying a double-bye into the later stages. Saint Louis, boasting a 27-4 record (15-3 in the A-10), face the George Washington Revolutionaries in their opening quarter-final match.
George Washington (18-14, 8-10 A-10) need to win the conference tournament to qualify for March Madness. The match takes place at PPG Paints Arena with an 11:30 a.m. ET tipoff.
Saint Louis Favoured, but Pressure Mounts
The Saint Louis Billikens are listed as 6.5-point favourites. The over/under is set at 161.5.
Despite a strong season, a 3-3 finish to the regular season has increased the pressure on Saint Louis to secure the automatic bid. The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times to generate picks and betting predictions.
Betting Model’s Predictions
The SportsLine Projection Model enters the tournament on a 14-2 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks. The model is going Under on the total (161.5 points).
- The Saint Louis offense has cooled late in the season, with six of their past eight games going Under.
- George Washington has also failed to reach the total in its last two games.
- The model projects that no player clears 16 points in this matchup.
Key Players and Potential Outcomes
Rafael Castro is projected to lead GW with 15.6 points, while Robbie Avila is projected to pace Saint Louis with 14.6. The teams are projected to combine for 160 points, with the Under hitting 55% of the time.
The model suggests that one side of the spread is the better value. Bettors can visit SportsLine to see the model’s picks.
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The latest Saint Louis vs. George Washington odds list the Billikens as 6.5-point favorites.
The model has simulated Saint Louis vs. George Washington 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men’s college basketball picks and betting predictions.
The Saint Louis offense has cooled late in the season as the Billikens saw six of their past eight games go Under.
George Washington, meanwhile, has failed to reach the total in its last two games, including in a second-round win over Fordham where the teams combined for just 128 points.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times.
The SportsLine Projection Model entered conference tournament week on a sizzling 14-2 run on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 28-21 run on top-rated CBB side picks.
The Saint Louis Billikens will be looking to make a strong start in the tournament as they aim to secure their place in March Madness.