The San Antonio Spurs are preparing to host the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1 of their Western Conference semi-final series. The Spurs, who clinched the Southwest Division title, will face a Timberwolves team that advanced after defeating the Denver Nuggets. Minnesota placed third in the Northwest Division.
Playoff Matchup: Spurs vs Timberwolves
The Spurs enter the game with a record of 62-20, and a strong 34-9 record on their home court. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are 49-33 overall and 24-20 on the road this season, including postseason games. The Spurs defeated Portland to advance to this stage.
Minnesota’s Anthony Edwards is listed as questionable with a knee injury. Ayo Dosunmu has been ruled out due to a calf injury.
Betting Odds and Predictions
San Antonio is a 9.5-point favourite for the game, according to the latest odds. The over/under for total points scored is set at 219.5. The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the game 10,000 times to generate its predictions.
The SportsLine Projection Model is predicting that the total score will go Over 219.5. In simulations, the Over has a 54% chance of occurring. The Over has been a common result in past matchups between these teams, hitting in five of the last seven head-to-head games.
- San Antonio had the third-best scoring offence in the league during the regular season, averaging 119.8 points per game.
- Minnesota averaged 118 points per game, seventh overall.
Key Players to Watch
The SportsLine model projects that Minnesota will have five players scoring 11 or more points. Julius Randle is projected to lead the Timberwolves with 21.9 points. For the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 25.3 points, leading a projected six San Antonio players who will score 10.2 or more points.
The model projects the teams to combine for 222 total points.
Game Details
Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. The game is Game 1 of their Western Conference semi-final matchup.
The SportsLine Projection Model has a strong track record with NBA picks, returning well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight-plus seasons. The model entered the second full week of the 2026 NBA playoffs on a 25-9 run (74%) on top-rated NBA spread picks this season.