The Miami Marlins are set to face the Cincinnati Reds in the final game of their series, hoping to secure a split. Following their 7-4 victory over Cincinnati, Miami will be looking to continue their winning form. The Reds, who had their five-game winning streak halted, will be aiming to bounce back.
Marlins’ Home Advantage
The game will take place at loanDepot Park in Miami. The Marlins have a 6-3 record at home this season. In contrast, the Reds are 5-1 on the road in 2026.
Betting Odds and Predictions
Miami is the favourite with a -128 money line, while Cincy is the underdog at +109. The over/under is set at 8. A SportsLine computer model has simulated the game 10,000 times to provide predictions and betting advice.
The SportsLine Projection Model was profitable on top-rated MLB money-line picks last season, going 35-29. It also excelled making home run prop picks in 2025, returning nearly 30 units of profit. The model has locked in its picks and MLB predictions for Reds vs. Marlins. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks.
SportsLine’s Model’s Projections
After running 10,000 simulations, the SportsLine model is predicting the game will go Over 8 combined runs. Miami boasts MLB’s fourth-best offence, hitting .262 this season. The Marlins have scored the sixth-most runs in baseball with 59 in 12 games.
- The model projects more than 1.46 total bases for Cincinnati’s Elly De La Cruz, Sal Stewart, Eugenio Suarez and Spencer Steer.
- Miami is projected to get over 1.4 total bases from Otto Lopez, Jakob Marsee and Owen Caissie.
- The model projects 9.0 combined runs.
The model also indicates that one side of the money line has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
First pitch from loanDepot Park in Miami is set for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Reds lead the all-time series 139-107, and have won five of the last seven meetings.